Analyzing How the NFL Season Is Going
Week 7 of the NFL season is already underway. We’re nearing the halfway point of the regular season.
Last night, the Arizona Cardinals defeated the New Orleans Saints (42-34) at home. There are still 13 games scheduled for week 7 and plenty of betting opportunities for NFL handicappers.
With that being said, let’s analyze how the NFL season is going up to this point.
Best Performing Teams in the NFL This Season
No team has jumped out to a better start than the Philadelphia Eagles (6-0). The Eagles have the best record in the NFL and are the only team that hasn’t lost a single game yet.
The Buffalo Bills, Minnesota Vikings and New York Giants are all tied with a 5-1 record.The Giants have been a huge surprise, but this team isn’t going to be able to sustain this level of success.
There are only four other teams above .500 with a 4-2 record. Those teams include the New York Jets, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers and Dallas Cowboys.
Here are the leaders of each NFL division at this point of the season:
• AFC East: Buffalo Bills (5-1) • AFC North: Baltimore Ravens (3-3) • AFC South: Tennessee Titans (3-2) • AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs (4-2) • NFC East: Philadelphia Eagles (6-0) • NFC North: Minnesota Vikings (5-1) • NFC South: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) • NFC West: San Francisco 49ers (3-3)
Worst Performing Teams in the NFL This Season
Four teams in the NFL have only won one game this season. The Houston Texans (1-3-1), Las Vegas Raiders (1-4), Detroit Lions (1-4) and Carolina Panthers (1-5) have all struggled.
The Texans and Lions were expected to be bad this season, but the Raiders and Panthers had high hopes at the start of the season. The Raiders and Panthers weren’t expected to be this bad.
The Raiders traded for Davante Adams and he was supposed to power this team to the playoffs.
The Panthers brought in Baker Mayfield, but that experiment has seemingly failed already. Mayfield has a QB rating of 15.5 this season. He has thrown as many interceptions (4) as touchdown passes. He’s also only completing 54.9% of his passes, which is the worst completion percentage in his career.
Most Profitable Teams to Bet ATS
The most profitable team to bet against the spread has been the Atlanta Falcons (6-0 ATS). The Falcons have covered every single game this season, despite only having a 3-3 record.
The Giants (5-1 ATS), Bills (4-1-1 ATS) and Texans (3-1-1 ATS) have all only failed to cover ATS in a single game. Houston are only 1-3-1 this season, but they’ve been profitable against the spread.
Five teams have gone 4-2 ATS (Jets, Cowboys, Eagles, Chargers and Cincinnati Bengals).
Underdogs have been dominating against the spread. Underdogs are 52-39-3 ATS this season.
Most Profitable Teams to Bet on the Over/Under
There have only been five profitable teams to bet the over on this season. Those include the Cleveland Browns (5-1 O/U record), Lions (4-1 O/U record), Raiders (3-1-1 O/U record), New Orleans Saints (5-2 O/U record) and Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2 O/U record).
There have been 19 teams that have been profitable betting under this season.
There are currently seven teams with a 1-5 O/U record. Those include the Bills, 49ers, Buccaneers, Bengals, Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Rams and Indianapolis Colts.
Unders have been hitting at a high rate all season long, but that’s likely to regress to the mean at some point. At this point of the season, the over/under record is 37-56-1.
Blindly betting on underdogs against the spread or unders has been profitable this season. With that being said, look for overs and favorites to start cashing more often as the season progresses.